Senior diplomats expressed cautious optimism Monday that China and Russia may abstain rather than veto a US-sponsored UN Security Council resolution authorizing a 20,000-strong International Stabilization Force (ISF) in Gaza, a critical test of multilateral support for post-ceasefire reconstruction amid fragile truce.
US calls on UNSC to unite and back its draft resolution aimed at bolstering Trump’s Gaza stabilisation plan, warning Palestinians could otherwise suffer “grave” consequences
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The draft, circulated by the US and slated for vote at 5 PM, requires nine affirmative votes and no P5 vetoes (US, China, Russia, UK, France) to pass. “China will not veto, but Russia’s position is uncertain and key,” one senior diplomat said. Another added: “Both may abstain—they will not use their veto.”
Under President Trump’s 20-point Gaza plan—agreed October 8 by Israel and Hamas—the resolution endorses a two-year Board of Peace (BoP), chaired by Trump, as transitional governance until December 31, 2027. The ISF, comprising non-US troops, would disarm non-state groups like Hamas, secure borders/humanitarian corridors, protect civilians, and aid Palestinian Authority (PA) reforms for eventual statehood—tied to Israeli withdrawal milestones.
Eight Arab/Muslim states—Pakistan, Qatar, Egypt, UAE, Saudi Arabia, Indonesia, Jordan, Turkey—plus the US endorsed the text in a joint statement, urging swift passage to avert violence resurgence. “Nobody wants the Palestinian genocide to resume,” one diplomat explained. Palestinian Observer Riyad Mansour, meeting Pakistan’s Ambassador Asim Iftikhar Ahmad, stressed: “Blood-letting in Gaza must stop immediately.”
Russia’s rival draft scraps the BoP, proposing UN Secretary-General options for inclusive governance under clearer oversight, arguing the US text deviates from two-state norms. China/Russia seek BoP removal; Arab states question composition, PA role, logistics/funding, and UAE troops commitment.
US Secretary of State Marco Rubio defended the plan as “the best path to peace,” thanking endorsers. Failure risks renewed fighting; success could deploy ISF by January 2026, per US goals.
As the vote looms, the resolution’s fate tests UN unity on Gaza’s future.
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