The federal government is set to adopt a “hybrid” strategy involving scheduled load-shedding, mandatory conservation, and significant tariff hikes to manage the country’s power sector this summer. According to senior officials, the Power Division is preparing for a severe supply gap as the ongoing Middle East conflict threatens to reduce LNG availability to near zero starting next month. LNG currently accounts for over 21% of Pakistan’s total power generation, and its absence, combined with reduced coal supplies will force the grid to rely on expensive alternative fuels.
Pakistan is bracing for 2-3 hours of daily load-shedding and tariff hikes this summer due to a severe drop in LNG supply, coal transport disputes, and rising fuel costs amid the ongoing Middle East crisis. https://t.co/1FIFIprBdf
— Investify Pakistan (@investifypk) March 30, 2026
To fill the vacuum, the government will pivot to furnace oil, despite its staggering cost. While imported coal and LNG costs were recently recorded at Rs 13.50 and Rs 20 per unit respectively, furnace oil-based generation has spiked to roughly Rs 35 per unit. Estimates suggest that fuel cost adjustments could soar by Rs 10–12 per unit. Consequently, the public can expect an average of two to three hours of daily load-shedding, alongside strict conservation measures to protect the industrial and agricultural sectors during the upcoming harvest season.
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