Prime Minister Mohammed Shia al-Sudani declared victory for his Reconstruction and Development Coalition Wednesday after Iraq’s electoral commission released preliminary results showing it leading with over 1.3 million votes—370,000 ahead of the nearest rival.
In a televised address, al-Sudani framed the win as a national triumph: “Our coalition is first—congratulations to Iraq on your coalition winning first place.” On X, he added: “Deep gratitude to the Iraqi people for their support.” Supporters flooded Tahrir Square with fireworks late Tuesday, AFP reported.
Iraq’s election leaves no side dominant: neither the pro-Iran nor pro-U.S. blocs can reach 165 seats alone. Kurds and Sunnis face internal splits that will shape coalition talks. pic.twitter.com/AfNFqXA8ug
— Faytuks Network (@FaytuksNetwork) November 12, 2025
Over 12 million of 21 million eligible voters participated in Tuesday’s polls—a turnout defying Moqtada al-Sadr’s boycott—amid rare regional calm despite conflicts in Gaza, Lebanon, and Syria. The Independent High Electoral Commission published provincial vote counts, projecting al-Sudani’s bloc at ~50 of 329 seats, with final allocations pending.
Al-Sudani, propelled by the pro-Iran Coordination Framework (SCF) three years ago, campaigned on service delivery, jobs, infrastructure, and balanced US-Iran ties. Voters demanded anti-corruption reforms, education, and healthcare in a nation plagued by mismanagement.
Under Iraq’s muhasasa system—premiership for Shia, speakership for Sunni, presidency for Kurds—no list can secure a majority. Al-Sudani must forge post-election alliances to retain Shia consensus, with negotiations potentially lasting months. An SCF source predicted a “major victory,” but analysts warn his broad coalition may splinter.
As lawmakers prepare to nominate a premier, al-Sudani faces the delicate task of sustaining Iraq’s neutrality amid Middle East upheavals while delivering domestic progress. This election marks a pivotal test for the country’s fragile democratic gains.
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